The risks behind the generative AI craze: Why caution is growing

by Muhammad Zulhusni


Within the close to long run, Silicon Valley may glance again at fresh occasions as the purpose the place the generative AI craze went too a ways.

This previous summer season, buyers puzzled whether or not best AI shares may just maintain their sky-high valuations, given the loss of returns on huge AI spending. As Autumn approaches, primary AI sectors—similar to chips, LLMs, and AI units—gained renewed self belief. Nevertheless, there are increasingly causes to be wary.

Cerebras: A chip contender with a big possibility

Chip startup Cerebras is difficult Nvidia’s dominance by way of growing processors designed to energy smarter LLMs. Nvidia, a big participant within the AI increase, has noticed its marketplace cap skyrocket from $364 billion originally of 2023 to over $3 trillion.

Cerebras, alternatively, is based closely on a unmarried buyer: the Abu Dhabi-based AI company G42. In 2023, G42 accounted for 83% of Cerebras’ income, and within the first part of 2024, that determine greater to 87%. Whilst G42 is subsidized by way of primary avid gamers like Microsoft and Silver Lake, its dependency poses a possibility. Even supposing Cerebras has signed a take care of Saudi Aramco, its reliance on one consumer might reason considerations because it seeks a $7-8 billion valuation for its IPO.

OpenAI’s record-breaking investment – however with strings connected

OpenAI made the scoop when it raised $6.6 billion at a $157 billion valuation, turning into the biggest funding spherical in Silicon Valley historical past. Alternatively, the corporate has advised its buyers to not again competition similar to Anthropic and Elon Musk’s xAI—an extraordinary request on the earth a bet capital, the place unfold having a bet is commonplace. Critics, together with Gary Marcus, have described this means as “working scared.”

OpenAI’s backers additionally come with “bubble chasers” similar to SoftBank and Tiger International, corporations identified for making an investment in corporations at their top, which ceaselessly ends up in large losses. With best executives similar to CTO Mira Murati departing and predicted losses of $5 billion this 12 months regardless of emerging revenues, OpenAI faces vital demanding situations.

Meta’s giant wager on AI wearables

Meta entered the AI race by way of unveiling Orion, its augmented fact glasses. The wearables promise to combine AI into day by day existence, with Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang endorsing the product. Alternatively, at a manufacturing value of $10,000 according to unit, the fee is a big impediment.

Meta will want to cut back prices and triumph over shopper hesitation, as earlier makes an attempt at AI-powered wearables—similar to Snapchat’s glasses, Google Glass, and the Humane AI pin—have struggled to achieve traction.

The street forward

What’s subsequent for AI? OpenAI should end up it might probably justify a $157 billion valuation whilst working at a loss. Cerebras must reassure buyers that depending on one consumer isn’t a dealbreaker. And Meta should persuade shoppers to undertake a fully new approach of interacting with AI.

If those corporations prevail, this second may just mark a turning level within the AI revolution. Alternatively, as tech historical past displays, high-stakes markets are hardly ever simple to win.

(Photograph by way of Growtika)

See additionally: Moral, believe and ability obstacles grasp again generative AI development in EMEA

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Tags: synthetic intelligence, llm, meta, microsoft, Nvidia, openai



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